ES-09-24-08

Squeezed off one trade only , on globex. Bought mov. avg. minus 10 support at 1189.75, and covered 2 min. later at 1192.75...plus 3 .Yesterdays action was normal so far,but....THERE IS NO WAY I WANT TO SEE THIS MARKET GO BELOW 1153.Other than that, i would expect more up and down but basically sideways action untill it becomes clear that congress is going to pass Hank and Bens bailout plan.

The CBOE 13 week T Bill interest rate index (IRX)is looking a lot like it did on the ugly days last week when liquidity dried up and the rate dropped to almost zero. The rate closed yesterday at .8% and is now at .4%.

you should start a room, cool!!

mini cycle low bottoming?

dam, tied to buy 1185.00, but no courage for some reason and missed it! Guess im getting old!

Happy 1000th post Kool!

1000 posts - kool! great!

nice little cycle low ... I guess whats bothering me is the 15 min. is just barely getting to oversold, but remember the numbers i gave yesterday. That was agreat scalp buy!

Thanks Pop! be careful today, bernanke testifing soon. I bought an oct. 1225 call on the e- mini s&p500, for 24.50, plan to buy another at loww 1170s and 1154 if these prices are ever achieved.

on a tick chart the last 15 minutes are a real choppy floor pattern , waiting for something more trendy to happen

agree, good advice guys.

Hi Gio,

I'm not sure if I ever posted an official thread on this type of trade but I'll look around. I know I've been rambling about it in posts for almost two years here so there must be something I put together...


Here is the basic concept for me :

I'm looking at volume and $ tick extremes...preferably in the first 90 minutes.....a volume spike is more important to me than the $tick but prefer to see the extremes together.....that usually means over 800 on the $tick on the high side and minus 600 - 700 on the downside

I'm looking for the extremes to hit on the volume into a key number....I want to know if the volume is attracting more of the same...or if capitulation has just happened...even if on a short term basis...

This makes good technical sense because we have the following:

1) a key number where many are watching
2) a spike in volume to show that people are interested at the key level mentioned in bullet #1
3) a $ tick extreme for more evidence that an extreme may be in

As you know I'm a fader so I'm watching to see if the volume is being accepted or rejected......when you think about it this happens at all prices...they will be

a) Rejected fast and the market will retrace
b) Accepted fast and the market keeps going
c) accepted or rejected slowly

These volume spikes become magnest for the current session and future sessions...the idea being that if the price was attractive to give a volume spike then some big players where there to creat the volume spike....

I watch the one minute for these......

As I'm typing we have a volume spike at the 1200 - 1204. area today...and we are testing it after we rejected it earlier...

If you are watching these outside of the 90 minutes and the "Window " strategy...see the pitbull threads for that then you need to fiqure out if they will reject it there or accept it...look at yesterdays 1212 number...the general theory states that the more time is spent at the number then the more participants are ok with it and aren't repositioning off it as fast as they did before....



Ok..this is a start......

this is for the ES and the one minute is only used to see the spike...